Vinoth Ramachandra has a nice post Discerning Providence discussing the tricky issue of discerning God's involvement in historical events, both positive and negative. Which events might be identified with God's judgement? Which with the advancement of the Kingdom of God? For which do we simply not know?
The confusion of Kingdom hope with secular Progress has often been challenged. But the confusion with optimism over our own private projects, our nation’s prosperity or the numerical growth of the Church seems to be rarely addressed.